Captain Fresh
+24%
est. 2Y upside i
Rank
#1533
Sector
F&B Technology
Est. Liquidity
~2Y
Data Quality
Data: MediumCaptain Fresh offers a moderate expected upside of ~24% over 2 years, but risks are elevated due to a stale valuation mark, severe preference overhang, and uncertain IPO timeline.
Last updated: July 19, 2026
Revenue reaches ~$1.6B; IPO window opens and the company goes public, supporting a multiple expansion to ~1.2x. Despite dilution, the common stock returns 100%.
Revenue grows to ~$1.6B; multiple converges to ~0.5x in line with public comps (SYY, USFD) after IPO. After 20% dilution, upside is 35.9%.
Revenue disappoints due to competition or macro; multiple compresses to 0.2x. Exit value of $312M is above preference stack but common stock loses 57.6% of its value.
Preference Stack Risk
severeFunding Intensity
6015%With $249.65M in total funding against a $500M valuation, preferred stock holds a 50% liquidation preference, meaning common stock is significantly diluted in a downside scenario.
Dilution Risk
highThe company has raised $249.65M across multiple rounds, and an IPO or follow-on equity raise within 2 years is likely, potentially diluting current common stockholders by 20%.
Secondary Liquidity
noneNo secondary market activity is indicated; liquidity is likely tied to an IPO or acquisition.
Last updated: February 22, 2026
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on Captain Fresh's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“How does Captain Fresh's AI-driven demand-supply matching provide a sustainable competitive advantage against incumbents like Sysco?”
- 2
“What is the unit economics breakdown (gross margin 17.9%) and how does the model improve as scale increases?”
- 3
“Given the withdrawn IPO and recent debt financing, what is the company's plan to achieve liquidity for employees and what timelines are realistic?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates +24% upside. What do you think?
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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.