Captain Fresh

captainfresh.in

+24%

est. 2Y upside i

Rank

#1533

Sector

F&B Technology

Est. Liquidity

~2Y

Data Quality

Data: Medium

Captain Fresh offers a moderate expected upside of ~24% over 2 years, but risks are elevated due to a stale valuation mark, severe preference overhang, and uncertain IPO timeline.

Last updated: July 19, 2026

Bull (25%)+100%

Revenue reaches ~$1.6B; IPO window opens and the company goes public, supporting a multiple expansion to ~1.2x. Despite dilution, the common stock returns 100%.

Base (45%)+36%

Revenue grows to ~$1.6B; multiple converges to ~0.5x in line with public comps (SYY, USFD) after IPO. After 20% dilution, upside is 35.9%.

Bear (30%)-58%

Revenue disappoints due to competition or macro; multiple compresses to 0.2x. Exit value of $312M is above preference stack but common stock loses 57.6% of its value.

Est. time to liquidity~2.0 years

Preference Stack Risk

severe

Funding Intensity

6015%

With $249.65M in total funding against a $500M valuation, preferred stock holds a 50% liquidation preference, meaning common stock is significantly diluted in a downside scenario.

Dilution Risk

high

The company has raised $249.65M across multiple rounds, and an IPO or follow-on equity raise within 2 years is likely, potentially diluting current common stockholders by 20%.

Secondary Liquidity

none

No secondary market activity is indicated; liquidity is likely tied to an IPO or acquisition.

Questions to Ask at the Interview

Strategic questions based on Captain Fresh's data — designed to show you've done your homework.

  • 1

    How does Captain Fresh's AI-driven demand-supply matching provide a sustainable competitive advantage against incumbents like Sysco?

  • 2

    What is the unit economics breakdown (gross margin 17.9%) and how does the model improve as scale increases?

  • 3

    Given the withdrawn IPO and recent debt financing, what is the company's plan to achieve liquidity for employees and what timelines are realistic?

Community

Valuation Sentiment

Our model estimates +24% upside. What do you think?

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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.