Aviron Interactive
-65%
est. 2Y upside i
Aviron transforms workouts with game-based exercise machines, making…
Rank
#3437
Sector
Connected Fitness
Est. Liquidity
~2Y
Data Quality
Data: LowThe expected equity upside over 2 years is -64.5% with low confidence due to an unknown entry valuation.
Last updated: July 20, 2026
Exit multiple holds at 3x on projected revenue of $19.8M, yielding $59.4M exit, but dilution of 20% offsets, resulting in slight negative return. Requires IPO window or category leadership.
Multiple converges to comp average of 2x on $19.8M revenue, exit $39.6M, net of 20% dilution yields -40.8%. Slow growth and lack of profitability pressure multiple.
Compressed multiple of 1x yields exit $19.8M, below total funding of $23.8M, so common stock recovers nothing due to preference stack. Severe downside.
Preference Stack Risk
severeFunding Intensity
48%Total funding of $23.8M represents 48% of estimated entry valuation, meaning preferred stock has a large claim on exit proceeds.
Dilution Risk
highWith only $18.2M revenue and high capital intensity, a raise within 24 months is probable, diluting common by ~20%.
Secondary Liquidity
noneNo secondary market activity reported.
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on Aviron Interactive's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“How does Aviron's gaming-first approach differ from Peloton's new gaming features?”
- 2
“What is the unit economics and customer acquisition cost for the hardware and subscription?”
- 3
“What is the expected timeline to profitability and future fundraising plans?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates -65% upside. What do you think?
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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.