Aven
+79%
est. 2Y upside i
Rank
#624
Sector
Fintech
Est. Liquidity
~3Y
Data Quality
Data: MediumAven offers strong potential upside (expected ~79% over 2 years) driven by exceptional growth and a differentiated product.
Last updated: July 19, 2026
Bull case: multiple holds near 11x due to successful IPO and category leadership; projected revenue $1.06B yields exit value $11.6B, net of 20% dilution yields 140% upside.
Base case: multiple converges to comp range at 4.5x, exit value $4.77B; after 20% dilution, upside ~73%.
Bear case: multiple compresses to 2x due to competitive pressure, exit $2.12B; after dilution, common stock return -23%.
Preference Stack Risk
highFunding Intensity
18%Total funding $390M vs valuation $2.2B (17.7% overhang), moderate preference risk.
Dilution Risk
highLikely need additional capital within 2 years; estimated 20% dilution.
Secondary Liquidity
noneNo secondary market activity; liquidity expected only at IPO.
Engineering — 3 roles
- Data Scientist · Campbell, CA
- Machine Learning Engineer · Campbell, CA
- Software Engineer · Campbell, CA
Operations — 2 roles
- Delinquency & Recovery Manager · Campbell, CA
- Mortgage Underwriter · Remote
Design — 1 role
- Marketing & Communications Designer · Campbell, CA
Growth — 1 role
- Producer/Editor · Campbell
Last updated: February 22, 2026
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on Aven's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“How does Aven’s underwriting technology differ from traditional HELOC lenders?”
- 2
“What is the path to profitability given the current cost structure?”
- 3
“How do you assess the impact of rising interest rates on Aven’s loan portfolio?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates +79% upside. What do you think?
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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.