AstroForge

-24%

est. 2Y upside i

AerospaceSeries A

We Mine Asteroids

Rank

#2835

Sector

Aerospace

Est. Liquidity

~5Y

Data Quality

Data: Low

This opportunity carries extreme risk.

Last updated: July 19, 2026

Bull (10%)+300%

Successful asteroid retrieval by 2028 validates technology; valuation expands to $640M based on first-mover premium, but mission risk remains high.

Base (45%)-20%

Continued technical delays and need for additional funding dilute common stock; valuation stagnates around $130M.

Bear (45%)-100%

Another mission failure depletes remaining capital; common stock worth $0, as $56M liquidation preference exceeds any exit value.

Est. time to liquidity~5.0 years

Preference Stack Risk

severe

Funding Intensity

35%

Total funding of $56M vs estimated ~$160M valuation gives a 35% preference overhang, common stock faces severe downside in a distressed exit.

Dilution Risk

high

With no revenue and high burn, a down round or substantial dilution in the next 24 months is highly probable.

Secondary Liquidity

none

No secondary market exists; shares are illiquid until an IPO or acquisition.

Other — 1 role

Last updated: February 18, 2026

Questions to Ask at the Interview

Strategic questions based on AstroForge's data — designed to show you've done your homework.

1
“How does AstroForge plan to overcome its mission failures and achieve a successful asteroid rendezvous?”
2
“What is the expected timeline to first revenue, and what milestones are critical?”
3
“What anti-dilution protections are in place for employee equity given likely future funding rounds?”

Our model estimates -24% upside. What do you think?

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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.