Armilla AI

-76%

est. 2Y upside i

InsurTechSeries A

AI/LLM Assessment & Warranty Solutions

Rank

#3552

Sector

InsurTech

Est. Liquidity

~2Y

Data Quality

Data: Low

Expected equity upside is -76% over 2 years due to entry valuation ($25M secondary) far above projected exit values even in bull scenario.

Last updated: July 3, 2026

Bull (10%)-26%

Exit multiple holds at 10x (IPO or category leadership) on projected revenue of $1.84M yields $18.4M exit; -26% return as entry $25M is above exit.

Base (45%)-63%

Multiple converges to public comp midpoint (5x) on $1.84M revenue yields $9.2M exit; -63% return as entry $25M is far above exit.

Bear (45%)-100%

Multiple compresses to 2x on $1.84M revenue yields $3.68M exit, below total funding of $30.84M; common stock recovers -100% due to preference stack.

Est. time to liquidity~2.0 years

Preference Stack Risk

severe

Funding Intensity

12336%

Total funding of $30.84M exceeds secondary valuation of $25M, so preferred stock would absorb all common equity in a down exit.

Dilution Risk

low

With $25M in recent funding and 16 employees, runway likely exceeds 4 years, so no near-term dilutive raise expected.

Secondary Liquidity

moderate

Secondary market transaction at $25M valuation suggests moderate liquidity for early investors, but employee equity may have restrictions.

Other — 1 role

Last updated: March 10, 2026

Questions to Ask at the Interview

Strategic questions based on Armilla AI's data — designed to show you've done your homework.

1
“How does Armilla's technology differentiate from traditional insurance underwriting models?”
2
“What are the key assumptions behind your revenue projections and customer acquisition strategy?”
3
“How do you think about dilution and liquidity for early employees given the secondary market valuation?”

Our model estimates -76% upside. What do you think?

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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.