AOA Dx
-4%
est. 2Y upside i
Blood Test for Early Detection of Ovarian Cancer
Rank
#3040
Sector
Biotech
Est. Liquidity
~4Y
Data Quality
Data: LowAOA Dx presents a high-risk opportunity for a job candidate: enterprise value is $40M (likely stale) against $40.7M in total funding, creating severe preference overhang that leaves common stock with little buffer.
Last updated: July 3, 2026
Successful FDA clearance and positive pivotal trial data drive enterprise valuation to $200M by year 2. Common stock benefits from residual value after $40.7M liquidation preference, resulting in ~278% upside net of dilution.
Steady clinical progress leads to enterprise valuation of $100M. After satisfying preference, common stock sees ~28% upside net of dilution, but due to overhang the absolute return remains modest.
Clinical setbacks or competitive pressure cause valuation to drop below $40.7M liquidation preference, rendering common stock worthless. Net of dilution, the employee's equity is fully wiped out.
Preference Stack Risk
severeFunding Intensity
10175%Total liquidation preference of $40.7M exceeds current valuation of $40M, meaning common stock is technically underwater at entry.
Dilution Risk
highWith $40.7M total funding and clinical-stage burn, a Series B round within 24 months is likely, potentially diluting common shareholders by 15-25%.
Secondary Liquidity
noneNo secondary market exists for AOA Dx shares; employee equity is illiquid until an exit event (acquisition or IPO), which is unlikely within 2 years.
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on AOA Dx's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“What are the key clinical milestones over the next 12-18 months that could materially de-risk the investment thesis?”
- 2
“How does AOA Dx's GlycoLocate platform compare to competitors' multi-omics approaches on cost, sensitivity, and regulatory pathway?”
- 3
“Given the preference overhang and likely need for further funding, how does the company plan to structure future rounds to minimize employee dilution?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates -4% upside. What do you think?
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Community Discussion
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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.