-87%

est. 2Y upside i

FinTechSeries C

Alloy is how modern robotics teams build great robots. Alloy helps robotics teams organise, search & analyse across all types of multimodal robot data in one platform using natural language, without waiting for labels.

Rank

#3658

Sector

Fintech

Est. Liquidity

~4Y

Data Quality

Data: Medium

Given the stale valuation at 18x trailing revenue and expected exit multiples of 3-10x, the expected equity upside is strongly negative at -87% over 2 years.

Last updated: July 19, 2026

Bull (20%)-61%

IPO window supports 10x multiple on $100M revenue ($1B exit). Common equity $789M after $211M preference. After 20% dilution, upside -61%.

Base (55%)-91%

Multiple converges to 6x, exit $600M. Common equity $389M after preference. After 20% dilution, upside -91%.

Bear (25%)-100%

Multiple compresses to 3x, exit $300M. Common equity $89M after preference. After 20% dilution, common value nil, -100% loss.

Est. time to liquidity~4.0 years

Preference Stack Risk

moderate

Funding Intensity

1360%

Total funding $211M vs valuation $1.55B, yielding 14% preference overhang.

Dilution Risk

high

No raise since 2022, likely need additional capital within 2 years.

Secondary Liquidity

none

No secondary market observed.

View all 18 open roles at Alloy →

Last updated: February 22, 2026

Questions to Ask at the Interview

Strategic questions based on Alloy's data — designed to show you've done your homework.

  • 1

    “How does Alloy plan to maintain its network effect advantages as incumbents like LexisNexis invest in AI?”

  • 2

    “What is the unit economics of a typical customer and how do they evolve with scale?”

  • 3

    “Given the company's maturity, what is the expected timeline to liquidity and how does the board view exit options?”

Community

Valuation Sentiment

Our model estimates -87% upside. What do you think?

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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.