-59%

est. 2Y upside i

Series D+

Search and discovery API platform for websites and mobile apps

Rank

#3747

Sector

Enterprise Software

Est. Liquidity

~3Y

Data Quality

Data: Medium

With only 9.5% growth and intense competition, Algolia's equity is unlikely to appreciate over 2 years.

Last updated: July 3, 2026

Bull (10%)-5%

Multiple holds at 9.8x due to IPO excitement; enterprise value $2.54B, common stock gains 15.3% pre-dilution, but 20% dilution yields -5%.

Base (40%)-43%

Multiple compresses to 7x in line with public comps; enterprise value $1.82B, common stock declines 22.6% pre-dilution, -43% after dilution.

Bear (50%)-83%

Multiple compresses to 4x due to competitive pressure; enterprise value $1.04B, common stock loses 63.3% pre-dilution, -83% after dilution, barely above preference.

Est. time to liquidity~3.0 years
Adjusted for competitive dynamics: -58% (raw: -59%, adjustment: +1%)

Preference Stack Risk

moderate

Funding Intensity

14500%

Total liquidation preference of $334M represents 14.8% of current valuation.

Dilution Risk

high

Likely need to raise capital within 2 years; estimated 20% dilution.

Secondary Liquidity

limited

Secondary market exists at $2.25B, but liquidity for employees is limited until a liquidity event.

Questions to Ask at the Interview

Strategic questions based on Algolia's data — designed to show you've done your homework.

  • 1

    How does Algolia plan to accelerate growth above 10% given intense cloud provider competition?

  • 2

    What is the path to profitability and how does capital expenditure look with AI inference costs?

  • 3

    Given the CEO transition, what is the strategic vision and timeline for liquidity?

Community

Valuation Sentiment

Our model estimates -59% upside. What do you think?

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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.