Alchemy Insights
-86%
est. 2Y upside i
Rank
#3649
Sector
Blockchain Infrastructure & Developer Tools
Est. Liquidity
~3Y
Data Quality
Data: LowGiven the extremely high and stale entry valuation of $10.2B from 2022, the expected 2-year upside is strongly negative (-85.8%).
Last updated: July 19, 2026
If Alchemy successfully IPOs within 2 years, the market might apply a premium multiple of 20x forward revenue given strong developer traction and profitability, resulting in a $2.0B exit value. However, this still implies an 80% loss from the $10.2B entry.
Assuming the forward revenue multiple converges to public comps at 15x, projected revenue of $105M yields a $1.58B exit. This represents an 85% decline from the stale entry valuation.
If growth disappoints or crypto headwinds persist, the multiple could compress to 8x, giving an $840M exit. Common stock recovery is minimal after $564M preference, resulting in a ~92% loss.
Preference Stack Risk
lowFunding Intensity
550%Total preferred stock is $564M, representing 5.5% of entry valuation, so preference risk is low at current valuation.
Dilution Risk
lowCompany is profitable and likely has sufficient runway, so near-term dilution is minimal.
Secondary Liquidity
noneNo secondary transactions have been reported, limiting liquidity options.
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Last updated: July 3, 2026
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on Alchemy Insights's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“How does Alchemy plan to maintain its competitive moat against well-funded incumbents like Coinbase Cloud and Infura?”
- 2
“Given the current revenue base, what is the company's growth trajectory and path to justifying the $10.2B valuation?”
- 3
“What is the estimated timeline to liquidity (IPO or acquisition) and how does the company ensure employee equity is not diluted?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates -86% upside. What do you think?
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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.