-84%

est. 2Y upside i

AerospaceSeed

We make satellites to image everywhere on Earth, every 15 minutes

Rank

#254

Sector

Aerospace and Defense

Est. Liquidity

~5Y

Data Quality

Data: Medium

Alba Orbital presents a strong upside opportunity for a job seeker, driven by its niche leadership in picosatellites and significant LOIs for future revenue.

Last updated: February 23, 2026

Bull (30%)+400%

Alba Orbital successfully scales its picosatellite manufacturing and launch services, expands its Earth observation constellation, and converts a significant portion of its LOIs into high-margin recurring revenue, leading to a successful Series B or C round at a much higher valuation or an attractive acquisition.

Base (40%)+100%

Alba Orbital continues to grow its customer base for picosatellite platforms and launch services, steadily deploys more Unicorn-2 satellites, and secures additional funding rounds at increasing valuations, establishing a solid niche in the PocketQube market.

Bear (30%)-80%

Increased competition from larger incumbents or well-funded startups, regulatory hurdles, or technical challenges in scaling the constellation lead to slower-than-expected growth, difficulty raising subsequent funding, or a down round, significantly eroding equity value.

Est. time to liquidity~5.0 years

Preference Stack Risk

moderate

Investors have contributed $3.4M in funding. At an estimated current valuation of $45M, this represents a 7.55% preference stack. In an exit at or below $3.4M, common stock would receive little to nothing.

Dilution Risk

high

As a seed-stage company, Alba Orbital will likely require multiple additional funding rounds (Series A, B, C, etc.) before a liquidity event, which will lead to significant dilution for common stock holders.

Secondary Liquidity

none

Given its early stage, there is currently no active secondary market or tender offers for Alba Orbital's equity.

Other — 1 role

View all 1 open roles at Alba Orbital →

Last updated: March 10, 2026

Community

Valuation Sentiment

Our model estimates -84% upside. What do you think?

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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.