Ajaib
-66%
est. 2Y upside i
Consumer fintech for Indonesia
Rank
#3447
Sector
Fintech
Est. Liquidity
~3Y
Data Quality
Data: MediumGiven the current $1B valuation implies a 45x revenue multiple that is unsustainable as growth normalizes to public fintech comps (5-12x), the expected return over 2 years is approximately -66%.
Last updated: July 3, 2026
Multiple holds at 12x due to successful IPO or market leadership, but valuation remains challenged given entry at 45x; projected revenue $79M yields $950M exit, still below entry.
Multiple compresses to 8x, in line with public fintech comps; exit at $634M, significantly below $1B entry, preference stack reduces common recovery.
Multiple collapses to 4x amid fierce competition from Robinhood and regulatory pressures; exit at $317M after preference yields near-total loss for common.
Preference Stack Risk
highFunding Intensity
25%Total funding of $245M represents 24.5% of the $1B valuation, indicating a high preference overhang that reduces common upside.
Dilution Risk
moderateCompany is profitable, reducing near-term dilution risk; however, future fundraising could still dilute equity by 15% over 2 years.
Secondary Liquidity
noneNo secondary market transactions reported; employees likely have no liquidity until a liquidity event.
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on Ajaib's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“How do you plan to maintain market share against Robinhood's entry and super-app competitors?”
- 2
“What is the path to profitability and how does the unit economics look at scale?”
- 3
“What is the current share count and what has been the dilution rate in recent years?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates -66% upside. What do you think?
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Community Discussion
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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.