-71%

est. 2Y upside i

Series D+

AdQuick is a marketplace to buy and sell outdoor advertising as well as online tools to measure campaign attribution.

Rank

#3503

Sector

Out-of-home Advertising

Est. Liquidity

~5Y

Data Quality

Data: Low

AdQuick's equity presents a highly negative expected return of -71% over 2 years due to low growth, high valuation, and severe preference overhang.

Last updated: July 19, 2026

Bull (10%)+9%

Exit multiple holds at 10x due to strategic acquisition by a larger ad tech player, implying $54.7M exit. Minimal growth offsets valuation expansion.

Base (50%)-73%

Exit multiple converges to comp range at 2.5x, yielding $13.7M exit. Low growth and high preference stack wipe out common equity.

Bear (40%)-89%

Exit multiple compresses to 1x, below comps, due to sustained revenue deceleration and employee churn. Exit value of $5.5M, common stock near-worthless.

Est. time to liquidity~5.0 years

Preference Stack Risk

severe

Funding Intensity

6080%

Total funding of $30.4M versus estimated valuation of $50M creates 60.8% overhang; common stock likely recovers nothing in any exit below $80M.

Dilution Risk

low

Recent $20M raise provides sufficient runway; no additional raise expected within 24 months.

Secondary Liquidity

none

No secondary market exists; shares are illiquid until liquidity event.

Questions to Ask at the Interview

Strategic questions based on AdQuick's data — designed to show you've done your homework.

  • 1

    “How does AdQuick's technology create a defensible moat against Outfront and other incumbents?”

  • 2

    “What is the path to profitability given the current burn rate and low growth?”

  • 3

    “What metrics would signal a turnaround in employee and revenue trajectory?”

Community

Valuation Sentiment

Our model estimates -71% upside. What do you think?

Anonymous. Do not share material non-public information.


Community Discussion

Comments are reviewed before they appear publicly.

0/2000

Loading comments...

Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.