-62%

est. 2Y upside i

Rank

#2715

Sector

Mobile Advertising

Est. Liquidity

~0Y

Data Quality

Data: Low

The equity opportunity is tied to Alphabet (Google) stock, as AdMob is a subsidiary acquired in 2009 for $750M.

Last updated: March 10, 2026

Bull (35%)+70%

AdMob's continued innovation in mobile ad formats and AI-driven targeting, combined with strong overall growth in Google Cloud and successful monetization of AI in Search, drives Alphabet's stock to outperform, reaching a market cap of over $6 trillion by 2028.

Base (45%)+25%

AdMob maintains its strong position within the mobile advertising market, contributing to Google's steady ad revenue growth of 7-12% annually, leading to Alphabet's market cap growing to approximately $4.5 trillion by 2028, in line with broader market trends.

Bear (20%)-20%

Increased regulatory scrutiny on data privacy and intensified competition from other ad networks like TikTok and Amazon lead to slower-than-expected growth in Google's advertising revenue, causing Alphabet's stock to decline to a market cap of around $2.9 trillion by 2028.

Est. time to liquidity~0.0 years

Preference Stack Risk

low

Funding Intensity

6%

The concept of a preference stack is not directly applicable as AdMob is a Google subsidiary. The $47M in total funding relative to the $750M acquisition valuation (6.2%) was for the pre-acquisition entity.

Dilution Risk

low

Dilution risk is tied to Alphabet Inc.'s overall share issuance, which is generally low for a mature public company.

Secondary Liquidity

active

Equity is in Alphabet (GOOGL) stock, which is publicly traded and offers active secondary market liquidity.

Questions to Ask at the Interview

Strategic questions based on AdMob's data — designed to show you've done your homework.

  • 1

    Given AdMob's strong position within Google's mobile advertising ecosystem, how is the team leveraging Google's AI capabilities to enhance ad targeting and developer monetization, especially considering the recent transition to IAB TCF v2.3?

  • 2

    With Google's overall ad revenue growth slowing compared to some competitors like TikTok and Amazon, what specific strategies is AdMob implementing to maintain its market share and growth within the rapidly expanding mobile advertising market, projected to reach over $1 trillion by 2032?

  • 3

    As an employee receiving Google RSUs, how does AdMob's strategic roadmap contribute to Alphabet's broader financial goals and long-term stock performance, particularly in the context of increasing capital expenditures for AI?

Community

Valuation Sentiment

Our model estimates -62% upside. What do you think?

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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.