-13%

est. 2Y upside i

Series C

Rank

#2605

Sector

AdTech

Est. Liquidity

~3Y

Data Quality

Data: Low

The job candidate should be cautious: AdMob's lack of recent financials, high incumbent threat, and stale $300M valuation (from 2008) imply a high-risk profile.

Last updated: July 3, 2026

Bull (10%)+100%

Acquisition by a larger tech firm (e.g., Google) at a premium to the stale $300M valuation, driven by strategic value of its mobile ad platform and user base. Implies exit value of $600M.

Base (45%)0%

Valuation stagnates due to intense competition from AppLovin and Unity, and no catalyst for revaluation. Maintains $300M but no growth.

Bear (45%)-50%

Market share erosion from incumbents and privacy regulations lead to revenue decline, forcing a down round to $150M. Preference stack of $46.8M reduces common recovery.

Est. time to liquidity~3.0 years

Preference Stack Risk

moderate

Funding Intensity

1560%

Total funding of $46.8M represents 15.6% of valuation, giving preferred holders a moderate liquidation preference over common.

Dilution Risk

low

No recent funding rounds suggests unlikely dilution in next 2 years, but future raise could impact.

Secondary Liquidity

none

No secondary market transactions reported; illiquid private shares.

Questions to Ask at the Interview

Strategic questions based on AdMob's data — designed to show you've done your homework.

  • 1

    How does AdMob plan to maintain its market share against AppLovin's aggressive growth?

  • 2

    With only 6 employees, how does the company achieve operational efficiency and scalability?

  • 3

    Given the company's age and no recent funding rounds, what is the expected path to liquidity for employees?

Community

Valuation Sentiment

Our model estimates -13% upside. What do you think?

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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.